Thursday, November 19, 2009

The Man - Introduction and About Luck

ENG

I have spent long hours (over several months) talking to a good friend of mine (from now on refered to The MAN - no reference to the use of that name in regular talk for government employees - he is just a friend, no guvernment relations that i know of) about the concept of survival.

I am usualy going on and on about the need of being prepared (you may know the phrase "failing to be prepared is preparing to fail"), and he always counters with some kind of arguement like that all the survival training is useless if all you need is luck to survive. It is a good point, and i happend to have a similar view: in a given situation, 50% of the chance to survive is skills, knowledge, kit, preparing, will-to-live, but the other 50% is pure luck.

There is almost no survival situation i am aware of that doesn't ultimately rely on pure luck to survive, and there are situations where people don't need to go through the ordeal related to surviving extreme situations, just because they are lucky (a car just happens to drive by in the desert, a fisherman alters his course and stumbles upon the person in need of help, etc.), but in my opinion relying on having luck is too risky - you may be the luckyest person on the planet, but what happens if you "ran out" of luck?


Over the course of this blog, i am going to post some of the preconceptions and misconceptions of some people (hopefully some of mine too, i wouldn't want to point fingers at others without finding some things that i lack or misunderstand and then trying to correct them).

RO

Mi-am petrecut multe ore (in decursul mai multor luni) vorbind cu un bun prieten de-al meu (in continuare referit ca The Man - nici o referire la utilizarea acestei formulari in limba engleza vorbita curent, pentru angajatii guvernamentali - el este doar un prieten, si nu are relatii in guvern din cate stiu eu) cu privire la conceptul de supravietuire.

De obicei, eu o dau intr-una cu necesitatea de a fi pregatit (poate ca stiti expresia "cei ce esueaza sa fie pregatiti se pregatesc sa esueze"), si el mereu contreaza cu argument de genul tot antrenamentul de supravietuire este inutil daca toate ce este necesar este sa ai noroc ca sa supravietuiesti. Este un foarte bun argument, si se intampla ca si eu am o opinie similara: intr-o situatie data, 50% din sansa de a supravietui este data de de abilitati, cunostinte, kit, pregatire, dorinta de a trai, dar restul de 50% este pur noroc.

Nu exista aproape nici o situatie de supravietuire de care sa stiu eu care in cele din urma sa nu depinda de noroc pur pentru a supravietui, si exista situatii in care unii oameni nu trebuie sa treaca prin calvarul legat de supravietuirea in situatii extreme, doar pentru ca sunt norocosi (o masina se intampla sa treaca prin desert, un pescar isi modifica intamplator traseul lui si da peste persoana care are nevoie de ajutor, etc), dar in opinia mea, sa te bazezi pe noroc este prea riscant - s-ar putea sa fi cea mai norocoasa persoana de pe planeta , dar ce se intampla daca "ai ramas fara" noroc?


Pe parcursul acestui blog, o sa discut despre unele din ideile preconcepute si conceptiile gresite ale unora (sper, ca si vor fi si unele de-al mele, nu as dori sa arat cu degetul la altii, fara sa gasesc unele lucruri care mie imi lipsesc sau inteleg gresit si apoi sa incearc sa le corectez).

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